|Title||Managing Severe Weather - Progress and Opportunities Conference Paper 2014|
|Publication Type||Conference Paper|
|Year of Publication||2015|
|Authors||Kepert, JD, Naughton, M, Bally, J|
|Conference Name||Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC and AFAC Wellington Conference 2014|
Severe weather often becomes "high impact" weather when certain “tipping points” are reached. Rivers burst their banks, houses lose their roofs, and bushfires exceed suppression capacity as thresholds are crossed. The high adverse impact events tend to be rare, because society and the environment naturally tend to adapt to more frequent events of lower impact. They are often small scale, or a relatively small part of a larger system. And they are often subject to considerable forecast uncertainty.