@article {bnh-5043,
	title = {An improved approach to understanding the drivers of natural hazard risk, by considering social vulnerability and hazard likelihood},
	year = {2017},
	month = {09/2017},
	institution = {University of Adelaide},
	address = {Adelaide},
	abstract = {<p>A natural hazard becomes a natural disaster when individuals, communities and infrastructure are\&nbsp;impacted (Smith, Martin \&amp; Cockings 2016). The economic and social repercussions of natural disasters\&nbsp;create a need for improved approaches to reduce natural hazard risk. To enable this, a better\&nbsp;understanding of what influences hazard risk, and how these drivers can be affected, is required. The\&nbsp;conceptual framework proposed in this report presents a method to breakdown and understand\&nbsp;natural hazard risk, for a non-specific hazard in a non-specific location. The framework incorporates\&nbsp;hazard, exposure, vulnerability to evaluate current risk, and uses an exploratory scenario approach to\&nbsp;evaluate future risk. This understanding enables decision makers to form long term plans to reduce\&nbsp;natural hazard risk. A sensitivity analysis of the drivers of hazard risk has been included in the\&nbsp;framework alongside mitigation to inform effective and targeted mitigation strategies.\&nbsp;The conceptual framework was applied to a case study to understand the influence of Social\&nbsp;Vulnerability on Hazard Risk by considering a bushfire hazard in Greater Adelaide. The case study\&nbsp;application demonstrates how the framework can be used to make decisions in real world contexts\&nbsp;and assesses the impact of mitigation on reducing hazard risk. The conceptual framework successfully\&nbsp;identified the areas in Greater Adelaide with the highest Social Vulnerability and Bushfire Hazard\&nbsp;Likelihood and assessed how these will change in the future. The implementation of certain mitigation\&nbsp;and co-benefit policies positively impacted the Social Vulnerability and Hazard Risk in Greater\&nbsp;Adelaide. Having demonstrated its utility, it is recommended that the conceptual framework be\&nbsp;applied to other natural hazards, to better understand the influence of Social Vulnerability on Natural\&nbsp;Hazard Risk.</p>},
	author = {Molly O{\textquoteright}Callaghan and Evangeline Moore and Yasmin Zahr and Phillippa Radford}
}
