End User representatives
Realistic disaster scenarios help us better understand disasters. They allow endusers to visualise potential impacts before disasters happen and proactively plan for these events. In this project, realistic disaster scenarios are being developed using catastrophe loss models so that vulnerable areas, utilities and assets within our major cities can be identified.
The scenarios will quantify the impacts on society, critical infrastructure, lifelines and buildings, along with the natural environment. This information will allow end-users to understand the implications of these events for their agencies and their industries so they can better prepare for, or mitigate the impacts of, events that are beyond their experience.
The hazards being considered are earthquake, cyclone, flood, tsunami and bushfire.
The project will develop a modelling framework so the impacts of hazard events can be quantified.
The project has developed complete scenarios for an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 occurring in the Para fault underneath the Adelaide CBD, a cyclone affecting south east Queensland, and a heatwave in Melbourne. Researchers have presented at several conferences in Australia and published in industry magazines on these scenarios.
This project focuses on how a better understanding of the role of science in decision-making will help industry articulate and defend decisions to the community, media, inquiries and elsewhere, and, better frame information and advice on how scientists and professionals communicate.
Realistic disaster scenarios help us better understand disasters.
The project aims to qualify and quantify the impacts of prolonged and multi-hazard natural hazard events on utility, transport and/or communication networks; and to also understand the interconnectedness of these critical services.
What if a category 4 tropical cyclone impacted south east Queensland? What would the impacts be? Could our emergency services cope? strong cyclones have come close to the densely populated south east of Queensland, but impacts have been limited. this will not always be the case. This project explores the impacts of a severe tropical cyclone on the region and asks, can these impacts be forecast?
What-if a magnitude 6.0 earthquake happened near Adelaide SA? IN this project we have developed such scenario by using Risk Frontiers earthquake loss model QuakeAUS to calculate losses to property, infrastructure and casualties.
The study of historical occurrences of natural disasters only provides a very limited view of the full range of risk Australia is exposed to.
This study utilises the advanced research version of the weather research and forecasting (WRF-ARW) model to investigate topographic influences on track and intensity of tropical cyclone ita (2014).
|Natural hazard exposure information modelling framework||Dr Krishna Nadimpalli||Geoscience Australia|
|Cost-effective mitigation strategy development for building related earthquake risk||Prof Michael Griffith||University of Adelaide|
|Cost-effective mitigation strategy development for flood prone buildings||Dr Tariq Maqsood||Geoscience Australia|
|Improving the resilience of existing housing to severe wind events||A/Prof John Ginger||James Cook University|
|An analysis of building losses and human fatalities from natural disasters||Dr Katharine Haynes||Macquarie University|