Published works

Fictional scenario developed for use at the 12th Australasian Natural Hazards Management Conference, developed in partnership with the Bureau of Meteorology, Geoscience Australia and Risk Frontiers. This scenario should be read in conjunction with the report on the 12th Australasian Natural Hazards Management Conference, Cascading extreme weather beyond our experience: are we ready?, published by the Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC.

This scenario has been developed for the 12th Australasian Natural Hazards Management Conference. It is based on climate, environment and weather events that are plausible. The combination of events, locations, areas of impact and human behavior are not based on any real event.

As you see what unfolds during the scenario, we ask you to focus on the nature and scale of the events that are unfolding, and the connections between them. And to begin thinking ‘what could we do to reduce, minimise or avoid the short and long-term impacts?’

The hypothetical event is based in New South Wales, but can, and should, be considered in the context of any equivalent location across Australia or New Zealand. 

The impacts capture a range of likely outcomes to illustrate the extent of the effects of the weather scenario, but do not attempt to catalogue all of the impacts and their extent.