This PhD focused on incorporating uncertainty and complexity into disaster risk management and assessment. This was achieved by integrating foresight principles into disaster risk management to explore emergent risks. The research has produced specific approaches of how this can be achieved and describes and demonstrates this across case-study applications throughout Australia. There are also particular examples of how scenarios and scenario planning can be used for risk assessment and management and how they should be designed and modelled for greatest impact.

This project was completed in December 2019.